Friday, July 21, 2006

H5N1 in Bulgaria and Indonesia

H5N1 is suspected in the deaths of domestic poultry in Bulgaria this week, tests in the UK are awaited to confirm if this is the case.

Indonesia reports death number 42 putting the country in the same top league for H5N1 deaths as Vietnam. As far as the world media is concerned these deaths are so few that it regards it as no big deal. The problem is that with every death and infection the chances of H5N1 changing and jumping to humans increases. Recent studies have indicated that H5N1 has mutated to become more capable of of infecting humans in Indonesia.

The H5N1 season will begin from about August, and I wonder if the next 9 months will herald the start of the worldwide pandemic that so many fear.